Rethinking the demographic race: What is the future economic potential of India and China?
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 11-Jul-2025 15:10 ET (11-Jul-2025 19:10 GMT/UTC)
In 2023, India surpassed China as the most populous country in the world, and is likely to retain this status for the remainder of this century. In a recent study, IIASA researchers explored whether India could also surpass China in terms of broader socio-economic potential, given the country’s rapid economic growth in recent decades.
New study explores why foreign firms listed in the U.S. choose between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. The research finds that firms strategically weigh the flexibility of financial reporting and the costs of compliance, rather than following the common standards in their listing jurisdiction. These insights help explain the real motivations behind financial disclosure decisions and offer guidance for regulators and investors alike.
In new research, Ramkumar Ranganathan, associate professor of management at Texas McCombs, explores how tech companies can shape emerging standards to their advantage. They do it, he finds, by simultaneously cooperating and competing with other companies on the committees that collectively set standards.
“Each firm is trying to look out for itself, but at the same time, trying to coordinate and shape the rules,” Ranganathan says.
We have all faced that situation in a restaurant or at a dinner party: our food has arrived but we find ourselves waiting for others at the table to be served before starting. This long-established norm is the subject of new research co-authored by Bayes Business School, that shows we are more concerned about violating this practice ourselves than we are about others doing so.
Abstract
Purpose – This study investigates the causal relationship and mechanisms between the development of digital finance and household carbon emissions. Its objective is to explore how digital finance can influence the carbon footprint at the household level, aiming to contribute to the broader understanding of financial innovations' environmental impacts.
Design/methodology/approach – The research combines macro and micro data, employing input-output analysis to utilize data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) for the years 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019, national input-output tables, and Energy Statistical Yearbooks. This approach calculated CO2 emissions at the household level, including the growth rate of household carbon emissions and per capita emissions. It further integrates the Peking University Digital Financial Inclusion Index of China (PKU-DFIIC) for 2012–2018 and corresponding urban economic data, resulting in panel data for 7,191 households across 151 cities over four years. A fixed effects model was employed to examine the impact of digital finance development on household carbon emissions.
Findings – The findings reveal that digital finance significantly lowers household carbon emissions. Further investigation shows that digital transformation, consumption structure upgrades, and improved household financial literacy enhance the restraining effect of digital finance on carbon emissions. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that this mitigating effect is more pronounced in households during the nurturing phase, those using convenient payment methods, small-scale, and urban households. Sub-index tests suggest that the broadening coverage and deepening usage of digital finance primarily drive its impact on reducing household carbon emissions.
Practical implications – The paper recommends that China should continue to strengthen the layout of digital infrastructure, leverage the advantages of digital finance, promote digital financial education, and facilitate household-level carbon emission management to support the achievement of China's dual carbon goals.
Originality/value – The originality of this paper lies in its detailed examination of the carbon reduction effects of digital finance at the micro (household) level. Unlike previous studies on carbon emissions that focused on absolute emissions, this research investigates the marginal impact of digital finance on relative increases in emissions. This method provides a robust assessment of the net effects of digital finance and offers a novel perspective for examining household carbon reduction measures. The study underscores the importance of considering heterogeneity when formulating targeted policies for households with different characteristics.
"Climate adaptation finance should shift from the quantity of finance to its quality and risk-reducing impacts. The current adaptation finance system will unlikely have the desired impact of reducing climate risks to vulnerable people," says researcher Jasper Verschuur of Delft University of Technology in an article in Science, written with fellow researchers from the University of Oxford and the London School of Economics.
This study is pleased to present a seminal study examining reserve management strategies across 45197 company-line-year observations from 2000-2012. The research pioneers line-of-business-level analysis to disentangle insurers' multidimensional incentives—tax optimization versus solvency management—through structural reserve adjustments. Employing two-way clustered fixed-effects models and regulatory policy shocks, the study establishes causal evidence of strategic reserve allocation patterns previously undocumented in actuarial literature.