How well do past extinctions predict extinction risk today?
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 24-Oct-2026 17:15 ET (24-Oct-2026 21:15 GMT/UTC)
In the last few centuries, animals have been going extinct at least 100 times faster than they did before humans arrived on the scene. So who will be next? Which species are most likely to survive and which will die out? A study of extinction patterns among 210 species of tropical forest mammals worldwide shows that, when deciding which species need protecting, extinction risk factors of the past can be powerful — but they’re not perfect.
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