New method predicts prices in uncertain times
University of California - RiversideReports and Proceedings
Artificial intelligence (AI) deep learning models can help businesses set optimal prices for goods or service by extrapolating prices from historical sales data, which generally show that sales go down as prices go up. But these predictions become unreliable when circumstances differ from the time the source data was generated, such as when the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted manufacturing supply chains and drastically altered consumer demands.
UC Riverside School of Business scholars and their collaborators solved this problem by developing a deep learning model that considers both historical sales data and the economic theory of demand. Economic theory of demand accounts for factors such as income levels, consumer preferences, and consumption patterns under various circumstances such as holidays or extreme events like pandemics and natural disasters.