Farewell black spruce? How climate change and pests are reshaping North America’s forests
Peer-Reviewed Publication
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 21-Oct-2026 20:16 ET (22-Oct-2026 00:16 GMT/UTC)
If global emissions continue unchecked, rising temperatures and shifting rainfall patterns could amplify tree pests and diseases across more than 80 per cent of North American forests within decades, jeopardizing critical carbon sinks, air quality and the forestry economy.
This is the key finding of a new UBC-led study published today in Nature Ecology & Evolution. The researchers found that insects pose the more immediate threat, with more than 60 per cent of the areas examined projected to experience 30 per cent more insect pressure by mid-century. Species like the spongy moth, already wreaking havoc in Canadian forests, could expand significantly in eastern North America by mid-century.
In a paper published in SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, researchers quantified the cumulative heatwave exposure of different birth cohorts and regions in China over their lifetimes. The study reveals that younger generations face substantially higher lifetime heatwave exposure, while regions with lower economic development experience a mismatch between increasing climate hazards and limited adaptive capacity. These findings help reveal how lifetime heatwave exposure is distributed across generations and regions and provide a basis for designing targeted adaptation strategies.
A University of Miami-led study found that artificial intelligence can complement traditional weather models by offering useful guidance Atlantic tropical cyclones several days before they form.
Coastal residents may be worried about exposure to forever chemicals from sea spray during hot summer months, but York University researchers found there was little evidence of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) contamination from marine aerosols, a finding that surprised them. The study looked specifically at areas impacted by sea spray from the Atlantic Ocean generated by waves breaking on the coast of Newfoundland and Labrador, however, despite its windy, marine location they found it was not an issue as previously thought.
In a paper published in SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, researchers at Sun Yat-sen University developed an SFA-based Climate Prediction (SCP) method, which directly extracted slow-varying predictable signals from observed precipitation data and applied it to seasonal prediction of summer precipitation over South China. Independent forecasts for 2011–2022 show that the SCP method achieves a regional mean temporal correlation coefficient of 0.36 and accurately predicted the sign of regional-mean precipitation anomalies in 10 of 12 summers, outperforming two dynamical models and a hybrid dynamical–statistical prediction system. The study provides a new perspective to identifying potentially predictable signals and improving regional seasonal precipitation prediction.
A new study in Nature Health suggests that delays are no longer necessary, offering the opportunity to assess whose health is most at risk, take protective measures, and test whether interventions are working while the heat season is still underway.
Heart failure hospitalization risk increases after short-term exposure to cold spells, lower ambient temperatures and higher ambient temperatures, according to a study published in JACC, the flagship journal of the American College of Cardiology, and simultaneously presented at ESC Congress 2026. The increase in hospitalizations, seen in Sweden, shows how temperature extremes can contribute to sudden worsening of illness and the need for health systems to respond to and prepare for environmental stressors.