Climate extremes in 2024 ‘wreaking havoc’ on the global water cycle
Reports and Proceedings
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 30-Apr-2025 02:08 ET (30-Apr-2025 06:08 GMT/UTC)
2024 was another year of record-breaking temperatures, driving the global water cycle to new climate extremes and contributing to ferocious floods and crippling droughts, a new report led by The Australian National University (ANU) shows.
The 2024 Global Water Monitor Report, involving an international team of researchers and led by ANU Professor Albert van Dijk, found rising temperatures are changing the way water moves around the planet, “wreaking havoc” on the water cycle.
Some of the most productive apple regions in America are facing big challenges from a changing climate, according to a Washington State University study. Researchers analyzed over 40 years of climate conditions that impact the growth cycle of apple trees from bud break and flowering through fruit development, maturation and color development. While many growing areas are facing increased climate risks, the top three largest apple producing counties in the U.S. were among the most impacted: Yakima in Washington, Kent in Michigan and Wayne in New York. In particular, Yakima County, the largest of the three with more than 48,800 acres of apple orchards, has seen harmful trends in five of the six metrics the researchers analyzed.
In the Arctic, the old, multiyear ice is increasingly melting, dramatically reducing the frequency and size of pressure ridges. These ridges are created when ice floes press against each other and become stacked, and are a characteristic feature of Arctic sea ice, an obstacle for shipping, but also an essential component of the ecosystem. In a recently released study in the journal Nature Climate Change, experts from the Alfred Wegener Institute report on this trend and analyse observational data from three decades of aerial surveys.
Climate change is driving more intense wildfires in Canada, according to a new modeling study, with fuel aridity and rising temperatures amplifying burn severity, particularly over the last several decades. The findings underscore the growing impact of climate change on wildfire behavior, with the most severe effects concentrated in Canada’s northern forests. Fueled by ongoing climate change, Canada – one of the most forested and fire-prone regions in the Northern Hemisphere – is grappling with increasingly severe and prolonged wildfire seasons. 2023 marked a record-breaking fire season. Over seven times the historic average area burned that year. Burn (or fire) severity is a crucial metric used to measure the ecological impacts of wildfires and can inform ecosystem responses, landscape resilience, and fire management strategies. However, comprehensive national-scale modeling of burn severity and its key drivers remains limited, challenging scientists’ ability to generate long-term, high-temporal-resolution (e.g., daily) estimates. Addressing these gaps is crucial for understanding how climate change shapes wildfire dynamics across Canada’s vast and remote forests. Weiwei Wang and colleagues combined 40 years of spatiotemporal wildfire data to build a multinomial logistic regression (MLR) model to investigate the factors influencing burn severity across 10 Canadian ecozones. Wang et al. found that fuel aridity – the amount and moisture of flammable vegetation – was the most significant driver of forest fire burn severity and that summer months were more prone to severe burning. The most severe fire conditions have occurred over the last 2 decades. The analysis also revealed variation in the effect of individual drivers across different regions in Canada. Northern Canada experienced a marked increase in burn severity driven primarily by changing climate, whereas fuel aridity and vegetation type played a more critical role in southern Canada. “From an ecological perspective, the increase in fire activity in boreal forests, especially in the northern regions of the world, has raised grave concerns about the health and function of biomes that act as important carbon sinks,” writes Jianbang Gan in a related Perspective. “Cooperation between the US, Canada, and Russia, which share 93% of the global boreal forest, is needed to effectively manage fire while preserving this valuable ecosystem of the northern hemisphere.”
For reporters interested in trends, in an October 2024 Science study (www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adl5889), Jones et al. show how vegetation dynamics coupled to weather were the primary drivers of forest fire carbon emissions from 2001 to 2023 in the nontropical regions of the world. In another October 2024 Science study (www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adk5737), Balch et al. found that the growth rate and intensity of wildfires across the U.S. has substantially increased between 2001 and 2020.
A new study investigating ancient methane trapped in Antarctic ice suggests that global increases in wildfire activity likely occurred during periods of abrupt climate change throughout the last Ice Age.
An investigation published in National Science Review firstly presents comprehensive analysis for the spatiotemporal patterns and underlying drivers of compound low-solar-low-wind extremes over time across China. This research underscores the importance for nations engaging in progressive decarbonization to consider compound low-solar-low-wind extremes in renewable energy development and power sector planning, and proposes interregional renewable electricity transmission as a potential solution.